Incresa vs PUD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ABR
2 - 3
INC
58%
20%
22%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
VMV
2 - 1
INC
52%
22%
26%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
INC
0 - 1
SVH
13%
16%
71%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
INC
74%
16%
11%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
INC
1 - 2
PRT
32%
24%
44%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PUD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CPM
1 - 1
SVH
33%
21%
46%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
CPM
58%
20%
22%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CPM
1 - 3
PRT
67%
17%
16%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
CPM
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CPM
5 - 2
OMO
65%
17%
18%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |