Incheon United vs Ulsan HD FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
12º
55
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
41% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
INC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DAE
1 - 2
INC
41%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
INC
0 - 1
JEO
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DCI
2 - 1
INC
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
JEJ
0 - 1
INC
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ULS
0 - 1
KAW
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ULS
2 - 0
GAN
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ULS
5 - 4
POH
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ULS
2 - 2
GWA
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GWA
0 - 1
ULS
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |