Incheon United vs Ulsan HD FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
11º
11º
38
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 59 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 53 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 50 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 43 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 36 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
10% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
90% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
INC
1 - 1
GWA
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 1
INC
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
INC
1 - 2
FCS
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
INC
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
INC
3 - 0
JEO
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ulsan HD FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ULS
4 - 1
DCI
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GAN
1 - 0
ULS
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 1
ULS
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ULS
2 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 1
ULS
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |