Incheon United vs Suwon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
12º
48
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 58 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 55 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 52 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 48 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 44 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 0
INC
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GWA
0 - 2
INC
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
DAE
0 - 0
INC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
INC
1 - 1
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
INC
0 - 1
GAN
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Suwon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SUW
2 - 2
DAE
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
SUW
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
SUW
1 - 1
ULS
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 2
SUW
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SUW
1 - 0
GWA
50%
23%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |