Incheon United vs Suwon Bluewings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
DAE
0 - 1
INC
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
INC
0 - 2
SEO
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
INC
1 - 3
GWA
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
POH
1 - 1
INC
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
INC
1 - 1
JEO
12%
22%
67%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Suwon Bluewings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
SUW
1 - 3
JEO
14%
22%
65%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
ULS
0 - 0
SUW
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
SUW
0 - 1
DAE
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
SEO
1 - 0
SUW
27%
26%
46%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
GWA
0 - 1
SUW
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |