Incheon United vs Gyeongnam FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
INC
1 - 1
GWA
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
INC
0 - 0
JEO
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
JEJ
2 - 0
INC
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
INC
0 - 1
SUW
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
POH
0 - 2
INC
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gyeongnam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
GYE
1 - 2
BUS
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GYE
2 - 2
SEO
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 1
GYE
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
GYE
1 - 2
ELA
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GYE
2 - 1
CHE
76%
16%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |