Incheon United vs Gwangju Sangmu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
INC
1 - 0
CDR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SEO
1 - 1
INC
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BUS
0 - 1
INC
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
INC
0 - 1
FCS
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
JEJ
0 - 2
INC
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gwangju Sangmu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
DAE
1 - 2
GWA
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DCI
3 - 1
GWA
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GWA
2 - 3
POH
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
JEO
2 - 0
GWA
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
GWA
2 - 3
SEO
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |