Incheon United vs Gwangju FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CDR
0 - 0
INC
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
INC
0 - 1
SEO
45%
28%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
INC
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BUS
1 - 0
INC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
INC
1 - 1
GYE
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GOY
0 - 0
GWA
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 2
GWA
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
KOR
3 - 2
GWA
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GWA
1 - 0
DCI
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHU
2 - 1
GWA
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |