Incheon United vs FC Seoul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
12º
46
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 58 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 55 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 52 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 48 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 44 |
7º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
INC
1 - 4
SUW
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 0
INC
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GWA
0 - 2
INC
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
DAE
0 - 0
INC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
INC
1 - 1
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Seoul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
POH
5 - 1
FCS
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ULS
1 - 0
FCS
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
DCI
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
JEJ
3 - 2
FCS
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |