Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
INC
0 - 0
JEO
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
INC
2 - 0
SUW
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
SUW
2 - 2
INC
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SEO
0 - 1
INC
43%
28%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
INC
0 - 1
GWA
36%
27%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
DCI
3 - 1
CHU
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
GYE
4 - 4
DCI
18%
25%
57%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
DCI
1 - 1
FCA
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
DCI
0 - 0
GOY
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
GAN
1 - 0
DCI
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |