Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
ULS
3 - 1
INC
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
CDR
0 - 0
INC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
JEO
1 - 2
INC
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
INC
1 - 2
GYE
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
INC
4 - 3
DAE
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
BUS
1 - 0
DCI
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
DCI
0 - 0
GYE
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
DCI
1 - 1
GYE
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
POH
1 - 1
DCI
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
SUW
4 - 0
DCI
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |