Incheon United vs Busan I Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
POH
3 - 2
INC
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
BUS
2 - 1
INC
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
INC
1 - 4
SEO
47%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
INC
2 - 3
SUW
46%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
GYE
3 - 2
INC
50%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BUS
5 - 3
CDR
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
JEJ
1 - 0
BUS
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
BUS
2 - 1
INC
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
GWA
1 - 1
BUS
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
BUS
1 - 2
GYE
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |