Înainte Modelu vs Agricola Borcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
5º
4º
20
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 38 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 32 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 31 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 29 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 29 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
7º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 22 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 17 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
59% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
41% | 52.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Înainte Modelu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
IMO
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
IMO
4 - 0
FET
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GLO
2 - 2
IMO
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 1
IMO
31%
22%
46%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
IMO
0 - 0
GLO
17%
23%
60%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Agricola Borcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 2
AXI
59%
20%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RGD
2 - 0
BOR
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ACP
1 - 1
BOR
20%
19%
61%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 3
PET
7%
16%
77%
|
35 | 77 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
BOR
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |