IMT Novi Beograd vs OFK Vršac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
3º
2º
36
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
2 - 3
NOV
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 0
LOZ
78%
15%
6%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAV
0 - 0
NOV
13%
22%
65%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
RSM
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
OFK Vršac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
VRS
0 - 0
SLO
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 1
VRS
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LOZ
0 - 1
VRS
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VRS
0 - 1
JED
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MAV
2 - 1
VRS
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |