IMT Novi Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
12º
15º
12º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 57 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 45 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 28 |
15º
|
73.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
7% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
93% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BEO
4 - 3
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 3
VOJ
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 4
RAD
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 0
NOV
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 1
RAD
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
INT
4 - 0
CRV
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 100 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 1
ZEL
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 4
CRV
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CRV
1 - 2
SLB
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 0
NAP
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |