Imst vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
IMS
3 - 3
WAT
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TEL
3 - 1
IMS
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
IMS
6 - 1
MOT
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
ZIR
1 - 1
IMS
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
IMS
2 - 1
SVI
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
VOL
0 - 2
KIR
32%
21%
47%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
KIR
4 - 0
UNI
56%
21%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
SVM
1 - 3
KIR
6%
10%
84%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
WAT
3 - 4
KIR
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
KIR
0 - 1
TEL
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |