Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-3
Imperatriz vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imperatriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
IMP
0 - 3
CAM
20%
26%
55%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
IMP
3 - 2
ABC
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 1
IMP
76%
17%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
IMP
1 - 0
QUI
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
IMP
73%
18%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
CEA
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
SPO
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
FOR
15%
22%
64%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
FOR
26%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 3
FOR
11%
20%
70%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |