Imperatriz vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imperatriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAR
4 - 1
IMP
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
JCA
1 - 1
IMP
43%
22%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
IMP
0 - 1
MOT
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
IMP
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
IMP
3 - 2
TOC
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 2
4DE
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 2
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 2
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 0
4DE
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
4DE
4 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |