Imolese vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IMO
4 - 1
SAM
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UAR
1 - 2
IMO
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 0
IMO
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
IMO
1 - 1
RAV
49%
24%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
DEL
0 - 0
IMO
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEG
1 - 0
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAN
18%
23%
58%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
VIR
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 2
VIL
40%
24%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
LEN
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |