Imolese vs Corticella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
12º
7º
22
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 71 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 59 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
IMO
0 - 2
FOR
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 0
IMO
15%
19%
66%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
IMO
2 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RIC
2 - 0
IMO
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
PIA
1 - 3
IMO
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 1
COR
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
PIS
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ACP
3 - 0
COR
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
TUT
82%
13%
6%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 0
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |