Imolese vs Castelvetro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VFC
1 - 0
IMO
23%
24%
52%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
IMO
2 - 0
TUT
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
USD
1 - 2
IMO
25%
22%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
IMO
0 - 1
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ACS
2 - 1
IMO
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
FIO
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PIA
0 - 0
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
COR
33%
21%
47%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
RIM
3 - 2
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
MON
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |