CFZ Imbituba vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CFZ Imbituba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
IMB
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
IMB
3 - 0
49%
23%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
IMB
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
4 - 1
IMB
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
IMB
3 - 4
JEC
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
1 - 1
AVA
23%
22%
55%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
4 - 2
BRU
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 3
AVA
10%
19%
71%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |