Imbabura vs Valle del Chota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
DPT
1 - 0
IMB
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
IMB
2 - 2
GRE
61%
21%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 0
IMB
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 0
RIV
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 2
IMB
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Valle del Chota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
UTC
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 2
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
FER
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FER
3 - 1
VAL
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
DEP
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |