Imbabura vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
OLM
2 - 1
IMB
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 0
OLM
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 2
IMB
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 0
LOJ
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 1
IMB
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
LIG
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 2
IMB
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EME
0 - 0
QUI
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
OLM
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
IVT
0 - 1
QUI
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |