Imbabura vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MUS
0 - 2
IMB
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
IMB
2 - 1
EME
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
IVT
1 - 1
IMB
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 2
IMB
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
IMB
4 - 2
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
DPT
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BSC
1 - 0
ESP
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 3
CUE
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 4
IVT
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 0
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |