Imbabura vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
10º
2º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
IMB
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
IMB
0 - 3
INJ
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
IMB
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
IMB
5 - 2
AME
52%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
IMB
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
MAN
29%
30%
42%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CUN
5 - 2
CSV
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 2
MAC
18%
28%
53%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
OCT
25%
28%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
CSV
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |