Imbabura vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
10º
2º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 1
IMB
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 1
CSV
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
IMB
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
IMB
0 - 3
INJ
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
IMB
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 3
MAN
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHA
69%
21%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 1
MAC
30%
28%
42%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
OCT
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 2
MAC
18%
28%
53%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |