Imbabura vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 2
IMB
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
IMB
3 - 1
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LOJ
1 - 1
IMB
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
IMB
0 - 0
LDU
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 2
IMB
48%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
MAN
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
CLA
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
TEC
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 3
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |