Imbabura vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
11º
14º
13º
11
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 27 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 25 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
8º
|
1.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 19 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 15 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 7 |
16º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 0
IMB
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IMB
4 - 0
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 2
IMB
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
0 - 1
ORE
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
2 - 3
MUS
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIG
1 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
CFC
69%
19%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 3
NAC
9%
17%
75%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUE
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
AUC
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |