Imbabura vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
IMB
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
IMB
1 - 1
LIG
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
IMB
2 - 2
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BSC
1 - 0
IMB
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
IMB
3 - 1
UTE
66%
21%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
BSC
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OLM
0 - 4
NAC
43%
30%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 3
QUI
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
LOJ
2 - 1
NAC
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |