Imbabura vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
10º
2º
44
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 2
IMB
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 0
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
IMB
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 2
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
INJ
1 - 0
IMB
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
OCT
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 1
AME
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
OCT
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
OCT
5 - 1
INJ
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
OCT
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |