Ilzer SV vs SV Tillmitsch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
9º
2º
28
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilzer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 0
ILZ
61%
19%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ILZ
7 - 2
FRO
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 1
ILZ
14%
18%
69%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ILZ
1 - 3
HGK
61%
20%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
UGA
0 - 0
ILZ
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SV Tillmitsch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SVT
1 - 0
KAL
38%
22%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SVT
0 - 2
KOF
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FUR
4 - 1
SVT
61%
18%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SVT
3 - 0
FRO
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 3
SVT
14%
17%
69%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | +1 |