Ilves vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
12º
3º
32
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
HAK
4 - 3
ILV
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
HJK
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
ILV
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ILV
2 - 2
SEI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ILV
2 - 4
SEI
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
VAA
50%
23%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 2
ZAL
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VAA
2 - 3
EKE
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
INT
3 - 1
VAA
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SEI
5 - 1
VAA
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |