Ilves vs TuTo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
NAR
5 - 1
ILV
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
ILV
1 - 4
SAL
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
LPA
2 - 3
ILV
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FCJ
1 - 2
ILV
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ILV
2 - 0
IKI
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
TuTo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
TUT
1 - 2
BK4
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
TUT
3 - 0
TPS
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
MUS
1 - 0
TUT
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
TPV
3 - 2
TUT
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
LPA
1 - 0
TUT
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |