Ilves vs Sporting Kristina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
VIF
1 - 0
ILV
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ILV
1 - 0
JIL
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
ILV
5 - 3
SPO
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
PII
1 - 2
ILV
26%
23%
51%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
ILV
3 - 1
NAR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Kristina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 4
PII
15%
21%
64%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 1
SPO
64%
19%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
ILV
5 - 3
SPO
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 0
FCK
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
FCJ
2 - 0
SPO
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |