Ilves vs Musan Salama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
ILV
0 - 2
BK4
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TPS
0 - 2
ILV
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
TPV
1 - 4
ILV
50%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ILV
0 - 1
PII
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
TUT
0 - 2
ILV
18%
22%
61%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
MUS
1 - 1
TPS
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2011 |
IKI
3 - 0
MUS
44%
23%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
MUS
2 - 2
NAR
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FCJ
3 - 0
MUS
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -3 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LPA
0 - 0
MUS
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |