Ilves vs KuPS Kuopio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
4º
4º
3
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
3 | 10 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
1 | 8 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
1 | 8 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
3 | 7 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 4 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 4 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
22.5% | 30.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27.5% | 18.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
50% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 2
HAK
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GNI
1 - 1
ILV
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ILV
5 - 0
EKE
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KUO
1 - 0
ILV
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
DJU
3 - 1
ILV
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
KuPS Kuopio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KUO
3 - 1
VAA
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KUO
1 - 2
INT
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KUO
3 - 0
IFK
72%
19%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SEI
2 - 2
KUO
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KUO
1 - 0
ILV
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |