Ilves vs KuPS Kuopio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
12º
3º
44
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
ILV
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
INT
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ILV
5 - 0
HAK
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EKE
0 - 2
ILV
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 2
OUL
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
KuPS Kuopio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 1
EKE
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 3
KUO
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GNI
0 - 0
KUO
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KUO
2 - 1
VAA
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SEI
1 - 1
KUO
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |