Ilves vs JaPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MUS
2 - 10
ILV
19%
22%
60%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BK4
4 - 0
ILV
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ILV
4 - 0
TPS
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
ILV
3 - 1
TPV
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
PII
1 - 1
ILV
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
JaPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
JAP
0 - 0
BK4
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TPV
1 - 1
JAP
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
JAP
2 - 3
LPA
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
TPS
0 - 7
JAP
22%
22%
56%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAL
4 - 1
JAP
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |