Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
12º
3º
20
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ILV
1 - 1
DJU
37%
25%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OUL
0 - 1
ILV
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
4 - 3
ILV
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
2 - 1
AUS
32%
24%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 2
VAA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
INT
3 - 0
IFK
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
VAA
2 - 1
IFK
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 4
SEI
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 3
HAK
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
HJK
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |