Ilves vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
11º
10º
44
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
NOK
1 - 5
ILV
9%
15%
76%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 0
ILV
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 2
OUL
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 0
KOO
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TPS
0 - 2
ILV
40%
25%
36%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
HJK
4 - 1
INT
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
KOO
3 - 3
HJK
15%
25%
60%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
KUO
2 - 1
HJK
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
2 - 0
HAK
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 1
OUL
69%
20%
12%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |