Ilves vs FC Haka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
2º
1º
38
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
54 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
56 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GNI
1 - 1
ILV
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ILV
5 - 0
EKE
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KUO
1 - 0
ILV
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
DJU
3 - 1
ILV
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ILV
2 - 0
IFK
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Haka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAK
1 - 1
FCL
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OUL
0 - 1
HAK
30%
27%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
HAK
1 - 2
INT
39%
24%
38%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAA
3 - 2
HAK
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HAK
2 - 2
KUO
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |