Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-4
Ilves vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1991 |
GLE
3 - 2
ILV
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
ILV
2 - 0
GLA
15%
21%
64%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
GLA
4 - 0
ILV
87%
9%
4%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
JUV
2 - 1
ILV
93%
5%
2%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
ILV
0 - 4
JUV
15%
24%
61%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1991 |
GLE
3 - 2
ILV
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1990 |
GIR
2 - 0
GLE
83%
11%
6%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1990 |
GLE
0 - 0
GIR
17%
27%
56%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
AGF
3 - 1
GLE
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
GLE
1 - 4
AGF
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |