Ilves vs FC Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
12º
3º
19
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ILV
1 - 0
OUL
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ILV
1 - 2
VAA
34%
24%
43%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
ILV
45%
24%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ILV
0 - 1
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SEI
3 - 1
ILV
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
GNI
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCM
55%
21%
24%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 2
KUO
20%
22%
58%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 0
HJK
18%
21%
61%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
IFK
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |