Ilves vs Kiisto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCJ
1 - 1
ILV
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SEI
2 - 0
ILV
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ILV
1 - 2
SEI
37%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 3
ILV
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ILV
2 - 2
LPA
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Kiisto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCK
2 - 2
HAR
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
NAR
5 - 1
FCK
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 1
FCK
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 4
SEI
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
WJK
0 - 2
FCK
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |