Ilves vs FC Jazz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
MIK
1 - 2
ILV
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
TPS
2 - 1
ILV
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
ILV
0 - 2
MYP
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
VAA
1 - 0
ILV
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
ILV
0 - 0
FIN
57%
22%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Jazz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
FCJ
4 - 1
FFJ
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
VAA
1 - 0
FCJ
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
FCJ
4 - 1
TPS
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
FIN
4 - 0
FCJ
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
FCJ
0 - 1
HAK
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |