Ilves vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 2
VAA
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
HAK
4 - 3
ILV
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
HJK
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
ILV
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ILV
2 - 2
SEI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 3
FCP
24%
24%
51%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 0
ZLI
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
3 - 7
BOH
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 3
PAK
43%
23%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 3
AUS
36%
24%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |