Ilves II vs TPV Tampere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
9º
8º
30
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 39 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
92% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HJS
5 - 1
ILV
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
ILV
4 - 1
PII
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +4 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 4
SEX
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HON
1 - 3
ILV
80%
16%
5%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | +3 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ILV
0 - 3
INT
8%
16%
77%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
TPV Tampere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
SEX
1 - 2
TPV
11%
14%
74%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HON
0 - 3
TPV
77%
17%
6%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | +3 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TPV
0 - 4
INT
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EBK
1 - 1
TPV
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MUS
2 - 0
TPV
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |