Ilukstes NSS vs Gulbene 2005 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
62.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilukstes NSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ILU
0 - 1
FCS
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 2
ILU
66%
19%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
ILU
4 - 1
SAL
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 6
ILU
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
ILU
3 - 1
VEN
13%
18%
68%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Gulbene 2005
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
FSM
1 - 1
GUL
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
FKD
2 - 2
GUL
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
GUL
0 - 2
FCD
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
GUL
1 - 1
LIE
15%
21%
64%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
FCS
4 - 1
GUL
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |