Illzach Modenheim vs Sarreguemines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 1
ILL
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 2
BIE
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 0
ILL
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 4
TRO
33%
25%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
PON
0 - 0
ILL
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SAR
3 - 1
MOR
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 2
MET
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SAI
4 - 3
SAR
58%
22%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 3
BIE
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 2
SAR
54%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |